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Racer Xenu (xenu)
Race Number 8728
Date Wed, 18 Jan 2012 19:24:25 +0000
Speed 107 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 100.0%
Rank 1st place (out of 4)
Opponents numsi (2nd place) tifftiff03 (3rd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)